BEITABETSTrack

Today's best bets

The sharpest value the model can find right now — injury-adjusted win probabilities priced against live Australian bookmaker odds. Informational only. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Bet of the daySolid
GERGER v CUWCUW
Under 4.5 goals
Best price
$1.75
playup
Edge
+23.2%
Stake
4.6%
of bank

Model 89% vs the book's de-vigged 55% ($1.75) — a +23.2% edge. Germany's attack is depleted — fewer goals than the market expects.

Safe multi of the day2 legs
  • ARGArgentina to win$1.43
  • GERUnder 4.5 goals$1.75
Pays
$2.50
To land
52%
Edge
+30.5%

2 independent legs across different games. Higher chance to land, smaller payout — about 1 in 2. Pays $2.50 vs a fair $1.92 (+30.5% edge).

Longshot multi of the day4 legs
  • GERUnder 4.5 goals$1.75
  • ARGArgentina to win$1.43
  • IRNIran to win$1.89
  • FRAUnder 2.5 goals$1.94
Pays
$9.18
To land
16%
Edge
+42.4%

4 independent legs across different games. Low chance, big payout, every leg is a value pick — about 1 in 6 to land all 4. Pays $9.18 vs a fair $6.45 (+42.4% edge).

Value board

ESPCPV
Under 3.5 goalsSolid
ESP v CPV · tabtouch $1.88
+17.3%
edge
ARGALG
Argentina to winSolid
ARG v ALG · betfair_ex_au $1.43
+5.9%
edge
QATSUI
Under 2.5 goalsStrong
QAT v SUI · unibet $2.40
+12.0%
edge
AUTJOR
Under 2.5 goalsStrong
AUT v JOR · unibet $2.28
+9.3%
edge
IRQNOR
Under 2.5 goalsStrong
IRQ v NOR · playup $2.35
+9.4%
edge
CIVECU
Over 1.5 goalsSolid
CIV v ECU · playup $1.60
+6.4%
edge
HAISCO
Under 2.5 goalsStrong
HAI v SCO · playup $2.20
+7.1%
edge
GHAPAN
Panama to winStrong
GHA v PAN · betfair_ex_au $3.55
+21.4%
edge

BeitaBets recommended multis

correlation-priced from the score matrix
QATQAT v SUISUISun, 14 June
  • +Qatar to win17%
  • +Over 1.5 goals74%
  • +Qatar over 1.520%
Combined (true price)
$9.05
11%
to land
BRABRA v MARMARSun, 14 June
  • +Brazil to win34%
  • +Not both teams to score48%
  • +Brazil clean sheet27%
Combined (true price)
$5.45
18%
to land
HAIHAI v SCOSCOSun, 14 June
  • +Haiti to win24%
  • +Not both teams to score49%
  • +Haiti clean sheet21%
Combined (true price)
$7.81
13%
to land
AUSAUS v TURTURSun, 14 June
  • +Australia to win26%
  • +Not both teams to score46%
  • +Australia clean sheet20%
Combined (true price)
$7.73
13%
to land
GERGER v CUWCUWMon, 15 June
  • +Under 2.5 goals55%
  • +Not both teams to score65%
  • +Curaçao clean sheet14%
Combined (true price)
$7.27
14%
to land
NEDNED v JPNJPNMon, 15 June
  • +Japan to win24%
  • +Not both teams to score50%
  • +Japan clean sheet22%
Combined (true price)
$7.59
13%
to land
CIVCIV v ECUECUMon, 15 June
  • +Ivory Coast to win33%
  • +Not both teams to score47%
  • +Ivory Coast clean sheet25%
Combined (true price)
$5.77
17%
to land
SWESWE v TUNTUNMon, 15 June
  • +Tunisia to win28%
  • +Not both teams to score47%
  • +Tunisia clean sheet23%
Combined (true price)
$6.70
15%
to land
ESPESP v CPVCPVTue, 16 June
  • +Over 2.5 goals44%
  • +Both teams to score21%
  • +Spain over 1.564%
Combined (true price)
$6.77
15%
to land
BELBEL v EGYEGYTue, 16 June
  • +Egypt to win18%
  • +Over 1.5 goals74%
  • +Egypt over 1.522%
Combined (true price)
$8.16
12%
to land
KSAKSA v URUURUTue, 16 June
  • +Saudi Arabia to win16%
  • +Over 1.5 goals74%
  • +Saudi Arabia over 1.520%
Combined (true price)
$9.41
11%
to land
IRNIRN v NZLNZLTue, 16 June
  • +New Zealand to win18%
  • +Over 1.5 goals74%
  • +New Zealand over 1.521%
Combined (true price)
$8.44
12%
to land

Stakes are fractional-Kelly suggestions off a notional bankroll, not advice. See how Beita's actual bets are going →