BEITABETSTrack
Origin III Decider · Suncorp · Wed 8:05pm AEST

Back the Blues upset

Series 1-1 · NSW are underdogs ($2.45) at Suncorp · these lean Blues for the value

Safest

Keep it tight

Blues cover in a low-scoring arm-wrestle and their winger crosses

Est. price
$6.00
$50 → ~$300
 
The play

Blues steal the shield

Underdog wins the decider, stays tight, Nawaqa scores

Est. price
$7.50
$50 → ~$375
 
Longshot

First blood Blues

The juicy decider upset — Nawaqa draws first

Est. price
$26.00
$25 → ~$650
 

Hand-researched Origin decider specials. BeitaBets' model is soccer-only, so these are not model-priced. Each price is anchored to the bookmakers' own published SGM cards for this game; confirm the exact figure in the Sportsbet SGM builder. If a multi comes up short, swap Under 44.5 for NSW win margin 1-12, or add Nathan Cleary anytime try to lengthen it. NSW are the underdogs tonight; these are upset-value plays, not model calls. Auto-retires after full-time.

FIFA World Cup 2026 · injury-adjusted live model

World Cup value,
decoded.

Win probabilities, value bets and same-game multis for all 104 fixtures. Priced by a Dixon-Coles goals model, adjusted for injuries and suspensions, weighed against the model's fair line.

Title favourite
ESPSpain
32.6%to lift it
$3.07
Matches
104
104 played
Upcoming
0
scheduled
Teams
48
12 groups
Simulations
10,000
per refresh

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Beita's bets

Every bet, settled. No cherry-picking.

P&L
+$605
ROI
+130.23%
Hit rate
33.33%
Streak
L4
Full record →

Title race

Full table
1ESP
Spain
32.6%$3.07
2ARG
Argentina
20.2%$4.96
3ENG
England
12.8%$7.78
4FRA
France
9.6%$10.47
5POR
Portugal
4.9%$20.41
6COL
Colombia
4.9%$20.53
7NOR
Norway
2.1%$47.62
8MEX
Mexico
1.8%$55.25
9BEL
Belgium
1.7%$57.47
10BRA
Brazil
1.4%$72.46

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