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JOR v ARG
Sun, 28 June$45.89$8.86$1.16$1.07$15.46$1.31$4.27$1.91$2.10$3.32$1.43$6.78$1.17$4.87$1.26$7.43$1.13$1.02$167.88$6.61$4.52$1.09$37.74$1.40$462.64$2.17$383.56$4930.86$1.53$2.44$12.42$1.28
Round of 32Sun, 28 June · 12:00 pm AEST
Jordan
JOR
12:00 pm
Arlington, Texas
Argentina
ARG
Win probability
Jordan
2%
fair $45.89
$15.00 -67.3%
Draw
11%
fair $8.86
$7.50 -15.4%
Argentina
87%
fair $1.16
$1.19 +3.0%
Expected goals
0.25 – 2.52
Total goals
2.77
Over 2.5: 52%
Both to score
21%
Supremacy
-2.27
model goal diff
Team news — feeds the model
Argentina out:Cristian Romero (?)Nahuel Molina (?)
Unavailable players adjust each side's attack/defence rating — a depleted back line lifts the goals expectation, a missing striker trims it.
BeitaBets recommended multi
- +Over 2.5 goals52%
- +Both teams to score21%
- +Argentina over 1.572%
Combined (true price)
$6.31
16%
to land
Over 2.5 goals + Both teams to score + Argentina over 1.5. These legs move together (correlation +106%): the true price is 16% vs 8% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.
BeitaBets picks
Argentina to win
high · 87%$1.16
Not both teams to score
high · 79%$1.26
Most likely scorelines
0–2
19.9%
0–3
16.7%
0–1
15.6%
0–4
10.5%
0–0
6.5%
0–5
5.3%
All markets
Match Result
Jordan to win
model 2.2%· DraftKings $15.00 (-67.3%)
Draw
model 11.3%· DraftKings $7.50 (-15.4%)
Argentina to win
model 86.5%· DraftKings $1.19 (+3.0%)
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 93.5%
Under 0.5 goals
model 6.5%
Over 1.5 goals
model 76.6%
Under 1.5 goals
model 23.4%
Over 2.5 goals
model 52.3%
Under 2.5 goals
model 47.7%
Over 3.5 goals
model 30.1%
Under 3.5 goals
model 69.9%
Over 4.5 goals
model 14.8%
Under 4.5 goals
model 85.2%
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 20.5%
Not both teams to score
model 79.5%
Double Chance
Jordan or Draw
model 13.5%
Either team (no draw)
model 88.7%
Draw or Argentina
model 97.8%
Result & BTTS
Jordan win & BTTS
model 0.6%
Argentina win & BTTS
model 15.1%
Team Total
Jordan over 0.5
model 22.1%
Argentina over 0.5
model 91.9%
Jordan over 1.5
model 2.6%
Argentina over 1.5
model 71.7%
Jordan over 2.5
model 0.2%
Argentina over 2.5
model 46.1%
Winning Margin
Jordan by 2+
model 0.3%
Jordan by 3+
model 0.0%
Argentina by 2+
model 65.4%
Argentina by 3+
model 41.0%
Clean Sheet
Jordan clean sheet
model 8.1%
Argentina clean sheet
model 77.9%
Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.