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Group LSun, 28 June · 7:00 am AEST
CRO
Croatia
CRO
7:00 am
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
GHA
Ghana
GHA

Win probability

Croatia
64%
fair $1.56
$1.65 +5.3%
Draw
23%
fair $4.43
$3.95 -10.7%
Ghana
13%
fair $7.46
$5.75 -23.0%
Expected goals
1.87 – 0.73
Total goals
2.60
Over 2.5: 48%
Both to score
44%
Supremacy
+1.14
model goal diff

Team news — feeds the model

Ghana out:Mohammed Kudus (?)

Unavailable players adjust each side's attack/defence rating — a depleted back line lifts the goals expectation, a missing striker trims it.

BeitaBets recommended multi

CROCRO v GHAGHASun, 28 June
  • +Over 2.5 goals48%
  • +Both teams to score44%
  • +Ghana over 1.517%
Combined (true price)
$7.11
14%
to land

Over 2.5 goals + Both teams to score + Ghana over 1.5. These legs move together (correlation +296%): the true price is 14% vs 4% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Croatia to win
high · 64%$1.56

Most likely scorelines

1–0
13.4%
2–0
13.0%
1–1
10.6%
2–1
9.5%
3–0
8.1%
0–0
7.9%

All markets

Match Result
Croatia to win
model 64.0%· DraftKings $1.65 (+5.3%)
$1.56
Draw
model 22.6%· DraftKings $3.95 (-10.7%)
$4.43
Ghana to win
model 13.4%· DraftKings $5.75 (-23.0%)
$7.46
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.1%
$1.09
Under 0.5 goals
model 7.9%
$12.62
Over 1.5 goals
model 73.8%
$1.36
Under 1.5 goals
model 26.2%
$3.82
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.2%
$2.08
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.8%
$1.93
Over 3.5 goals
model 26.4%
$3.78
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.6%
$1.36
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.3%
$8.15
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.7%
$1.14
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 44.3%
$2.26
Not both teams to score
model 55.7%
$1.80
Double Chance
Croatia or Draw
model 86.6%
$1.15
Either team (no draw)
model 77.4%
$1.29
Draw or Ghana
model 36.0%
$2.78
Result & BTTS
Croatia win & BTTS
model 23.7%
$4.21
Ghana win & BTTS
model 5.9%
$16.86
Team Total
Croatia over 0.5
model 84.6%
$1.18
Ghana over 0.5
model 51.8%
$1.93
Croatia over 1.5
model 55.8%
$1.79
Ghana over 1.5
model 16.6%
$6.01
Croatia over 2.5
model 28.9%
$3.47
Ghana over 2.5
model 3.8%
$26.40
Winning Margin
Croatia by 2+
model 38.7%
$2.58
Croatia by 3+
model 18.7%
$5.34
Ghana by 2+
model 3.8%
$26.00
Ghana by 3+
model 0.8%
$124.69
Clean Sheet
Croatia clean sheet
model 48.2%
$2.07
Ghana clean sheet
model 15.4%
$6.50

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.