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Group ISat, 27 June · 5:00 am AEST
SEN
Senegal
SEN
5:00 am
Toronto
IRQ
Iraq
IRQ

Win probability

Senegal
58%
fair $1.73
$1.41 -18.6%
Draw
25%
fair $4.08
$4.80 +17.8%
Iraq
18%
fair $5.66
$8.00 +41.3%
Expected goals
1.74 – 0.86
Total goals
2.60
Over 2.5: 48%
Both to score
48%
Supremacy
+0.89
model goal diff

BeitaBets recommended multi

SENSEN v IRQIRQSat, 27 June
  • +Iraq to win18%
  • +Over 1.5 goals74%
  • +Iraq over 1.521%
Combined (true price)
$8.44
12%
to land

Iraq to win + Over 1.5 goals + Iraq over 1.5. These legs move together (correlation +329%): the true price is 12% vs 3% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Senegal to win
medium · 58%$1.73

Most likely scorelines

1–0
12.4%
1–1
11.7%
2–0
11.3%
2–1
9.7%
0–0
8.0%
3–0
6.6%

All markets

Match Result
Senegal to win
model 57.8%· DraftKings $1.41 (-18.6%)
$1.73
Draw
model 24.5%· DraftKings $4.80 (+17.8%)
$4.08
Iraq to win
model 17.7%· DraftKings $8.00 (+41.3%)
$5.66
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.0%
$1.09
Under 0.5 goals
model 8.0%
$12.53
Over 1.5 goals
model 73.8%
$1.35
Under 1.5 goals
model 26.2%
$3.82
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.2%
$2.08
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.8%
$1.93
Over 3.5 goals
model 26.4%
$3.79
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.6%
$1.36
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.3%
$8.16
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.7%
$1.14
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 48.0%
$2.08
Not both teams to score
model 52.0%
$1.92
Double Chance
Senegal or Draw
model 82.3%
$1.21
Either team (no draw)
model 75.5%
$1.33
Draw or Iraq
model 42.2%
$2.37
Result & BTTS
Senegal win & BTTS
model 23.4%
$4.28
Iraq win & BTTS
model 8.1%
$12.28
Team Total
Senegal over 0.5
model 82.5%
$1.21
Iraq over 0.5
model 57.6%
$1.74
Senegal over 1.5
model 52.0%
$1.92
Iraq over 1.5
model 21.2%
$4.72
Senegal over 2.5
model 25.4%
$3.94
Iraq over 2.5
model 5.6%
$17.86
Winning Margin
Senegal by 2+
model 33.0%
$3.03
Senegal by 3+
model 15.0%
$6.69
Iraq by 2+
model 5.8%
$17.39
Iraq by 3+
model 1.4%
$72.26
Clean Sheet
Senegal clean sheet
model 42.4%
$2.36
Iraq clean sheet
model 17.5%
$5.71

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.