BeitaBets — World Cup value, decoded

← All fixtures

Group EFri, 26 June · 6:00 am AEST

Curaçao

CUW

6:00 am

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Ivory Coast

CIV

Win probability

Curaçao

17%

fair $5.83

$13.00 +123.0%

Draw

24%

fair $4.11

$7.00 +70.4%

Ivory Coast

59%

fair $1.71

$1.22 -28.5%

Expected goals

0.84 – 1.76

Total goals

2.60

Over 2.5: 48%

Both to score

48%

Supremacy

-0.91

model goal diff

BeitaBets recommended multi

CUW v CIV

Fri, 26 June

+Curaçao to win17%
+Over 1.5 goals74%
+Curaçao over 1.521%

Combined (true price)

$8.74

11%

to land

Curaçao to win + Over 1.5 goals + Curaçao over 1.5. These legs move together (correlation +337%): the true price is 11% vs 3% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Ivory Coast to win

medium · 59%$1.71

Most likely scorelines

0–1

12.5%

1–1

11.6%

0–2

11.5%

1–2

9.7%

0–0

8.0%

0–3

6.7%

All markets

Match Result

Curaçao to win

model 17.2%· DraftKings $13.00 (+123.0%)

$5.83

Draw

model 24.3%· DraftKings $7.00 (+70.4%)

$4.11

Ivory Coast to win

model 58.5%· DraftKings $1.22 (-28.5%)

$1.71

Total Goals

Over 0.5 goals

model 92.0%

$1.09

Under 0.5 goals

model 8.0%

$12.54

Over 1.5 goals

model 73.8%

$1.35

Under 1.5 goals

model 26.2%

$3.82

Over 2.5 goals

model 48.2%

$2.08

Under 2.5 goals

model 51.8%

$1.93

Over 3.5 goals

model 26.4%

$3.79

Under 3.5 goals

model 73.6%

$1.36

Over 4.5 goals

model 12.3%

$8.16

Under 4.5 goals

model 87.7%

$1.14

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score

model 47.7%

$2.10

Not both teams to score

model 52.3%

$1.91

Double Chance

Curaçao or Draw

model 41.5%

$2.41

Either team (no draw)

model 75.7%

$1.32

Draw or Ivory Coast

model 82.8%

$1.21

Result & BTTS

Curaçao win & BTTS

model 7.9%

$12.69

Ivory Coast win & BTTS

model 23.4%

$4.27

Team Total

Curaçao over 0.5

model 57.0%

$1.76

Ivory Coast over 0.5

model 82.7%

$1.21

Curaçao over 1.5

model 20.7%

$4.84

Ivory Coast over 1.5

model 52.4%

$1.91

Curaçao over 2.5

model 5.4%

$18.59

Ivory Coast over 2.5

model 25.8%

$3.88

Winning Margin

Curaçao by 2+

model 5.5%

$18.13

Curaçao by 3+

model 1.3%

$76.50

Ivory Coast by 2+

model 33.6%

$2.97

Ivory Coast by 3+

model 15.4%

$6.51

Clean Sheet

Curaçao clean sheet

model 17.3%

$5.80

Ivory Coast clean sheet

model 43.0%

$2.32

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.