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Group DFri, 26 June · 12:00 pm AEST
TUR
Türkiye
TUR
12:00 pm
Inglewood, California
USA
United States
USA

Win probability

Türkiye
38%
fair $2.61
$2.70 +3.3%
Draw
28%
fair $3.60
$3.65 +1.4%
United States
34%
fair $2.95
$2.50 -15.1%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.24
Total goals
2.57
Over 2.5: 48%
Both to score
53%
Supremacy
+0.09
model goal diff

Team news — feeds the model

United States out:Johnny CardosoPatrick Agyemang

Unavailable players adjust each side's attack/defence rating — a depleted back line lifts the goals expectation, a missing striker trims it.

BeitaBets recommended multi

TURTUR v USAUSAFri, 26 June
  • +United States to win34%
  • +Not both teams to score47%
  • +United States clean sheet26%
Combined (true price)
$5.52
18%
to land

United States to win + Not both teams to score + United States clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +330%): the true price is 18% vs 4% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Türkiye to win
low · 38%$2.61

Most likely scorelines

1–1
13.2%
1–0
9.5%
0–1
8.8%
2–1
8.4%
0–0
8.3%
1–2
7.8%

All markets

Match Result
Türkiye to win
model 38.3%· DraftKings $2.70 (+3.3%)
$2.61
Draw
model 27.8%· DraftKings $3.65 (+1.4%)
$3.60
United States to win
model 33.9%· DraftKings $2.50 (-15.1%)
$2.95
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 91.7%
$1.09
Under 0.5 goals
model 8.3%
$12.12
Over 1.5 goals
model 73.4%
$1.36
Under 1.5 goals
model 26.6%
$3.76
Over 2.5 goals
model 47.5%
$2.11
Under 2.5 goals
model 52.5%
$1.90
Over 3.5 goals
model 25.8%
$3.87
Under 3.5 goals
model 74.2%
$1.35
Over 4.5 goals
model 11.9%
$8.41
Under 4.5 goals
model 88.1%
$1.13
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 53.0%
$1.89
Not both teams to score
model 47.0%
$2.13
Double Chance
Türkiye or Draw
model 66.1%
$1.51
Either team (no draw)
model 72.2%
$1.38
Draw or United States
model 61.7%
$1.62
Result & BTTS
Türkiye win & BTTS
model 17.6%
$5.67
United States win & BTTS
model 15.8%
$6.32
Team Total
Türkiye over 0.5
model 73.6%
$1.36
United States over 0.5
model 71.1%
$1.41
Türkiye over 1.5
model 38.5%
$2.60
United States over 1.5
model 35.2%
$2.84
Türkiye over 2.5
model 15.1%
$6.64
United States over 2.5
model 13.0%
$7.72
Winning Margin
Türkiye by 2+
model 17.7%
$5.66
Türkiye by 3+
model 6.3%
$15.86
United States by 2+
model 14.8%
$6.75
United States by 3+
model 5.0%
$20.17
Clean Sheet
Türkiye clean sheet
model 28.9%
$3.46
United States clean sheet
model 26.4%
$3.79

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.