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RSA v KOR
Thu, 25 June$5.29$4.00$1.78$1.09$12.51$1.35$3.82$2.08$1.93$3.79$1.36$8.16$1.14$2.05$1.96$2.28$1.33$1.23$11.38$4.33$1.69$1.22$4.45$1.96$16.25$4.08$15.73$63.11$3.17$7.13$5.52$2.44
Group AThu, 25 June · 11:00 am AEST
South Africa
RSA
11:00 am
Guadalupe
South Korea
KOR
Win probability
South Africa
19%
fair $5.29
$5.75 +8.8%
Draw
25%
fair $4.00
$4.10 +2.5%
South Korea
56%
fair $1.78
$1.61 -9.9%
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.71
Total goals
2.60
Over 2.5: 48%
Both to score
49%
Supremacy
-0.82
model goal diff
BeitaBets recommended multi
- +South Africa to win19%
- +Not both teams to score51%
- +South Africa clean sheet18%
Combined (true price)
$9.87
10%
to land
South Africa to win + Not both teams to score + South Africa clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +478%): the true price is 10% vs 2% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.
BeitaBets picks
South Korea to win
medium · 56%$1.78
Most likely scorelines
0–1
12.1%
1–1
11.9%
0–2
10.8%
1–2
9.7%
0–0
8.0%
0–3
6.2%
All markets
Match Result
South Africa to win
model 18.9%· DraftKings $5.75 (+8.8%)
Draw
model 25.0%· DraftKings $4.10 (+2.5%)
South Korea to win
model 56.1%· DraftKings $1.61 (-9.9%)
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.0%
Under 0.5 goals
model 8.0%
Over 1.5 goals
model 73.8%
Under 1.5 goals
model 26.2%
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.2%
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.8%
Over 3.5 goals
model 26.4%
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.6%
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.3%
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.7%
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 48.9%
Not both teams to score
model 51.1%
Double Chance
South Africa or Draw
model 43.9%
Either team (no draw)
model 75.0%
Draw or South Korea
model 81.1%
Result & BTTS
South Africa win & BTTS
model 8.8%
South Korea win & BTTS
model 23.1%
Team Total
South Africa over 0.5
model 59.0%
South Korea over 0.5
model 81.9%
South Africa over 1.5
model 22.5%
South Korea over 1.5
model 50.9%
South Africa over 2.5
model 6.2%
South Korea over 2.5
model 24.5%
Winning Margin
South Africa by 2+
model 6.4%
South Africa by 3+
model 1.6%
South Korea by 2+
model 31.5%
South Korea by 3+
model 14.0%
Clean Sheet
South Africa clean sheet
model 18.1%
South Korea clean sheet
model 41.0%
Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.