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Group KWed, 24 June · 3:00 am AEST
POR
Portugal
POR
3:00 am
Houston, Texas
UZB
Uzbekistan
UZB

Win probability

Portugal
79%
fair $1.27
$1.25 -1.6%
Draw
16%
fair $6.17
$6.50 +5.3%
Uzbekistan
5%
fair $19.78
$12.00 -39.3%
Expected goals
2.20 – 0.40
Total goals
2.60
Over 2.5: 48%
Both to score
30%
Supremacy
+1.80
model goal diff

BeitaBets recommended multi

PORPOR v UZBUZBWed, 24 June
  • +Under 2.5 goals52%
  • +Not both teams to score70%
  • +Uzbekistan clean sheet11%
Combined (true price)
$9.10
11%
to land

Under 2.5 goals + Not both teams to score + Uzbekistan clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +172%): the true price is 11% vs 4% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Portugal to win
high · 79%$1.27
Not both teams to score
high · 70%$1.42

Most likely scorelines

2–0
18.0%
1–0
16.0%
3–0
13.2%
0–0
7.8%
4–0
7.2%
2–1
7.2%

All markets

Match Result
Portugal to win
model 78.7%· DraftKings $1.25 (-1.6%)
$1.27
Draw
model 16.2%· DraftKings $6.50 (+5.3%)
$6.17
Uzbekistan to win
model 5.1%· DraftKings $12.00 (-39.3%)
$19.78
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.2%
$1.08
Under 0.5 goals
model 7.8%
$12.90
Over 1.5 goals
model 73.6%
$1.36
Under 1.5 goals
model 26.4%
$3.79
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.2%
$2.08
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.8%
$1.93
Over 3.5 goals
model 26.4%
$3.79
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.6%
$1.36
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.3%
$8.16
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.7%
$1.14
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 29.6%
$3.37
Not both teams to score
model 70.4%
$1.42
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
model 94.9%
$1.05
Either team (no draw)
model 83.8%
$1.19
Draw or Uzbekistan
model 21.3%
$4.70
Result & BTTS
Portugal win & BTTS
model 19.5%
$5.14
Uzbekistan win & BTTS
model 1.7%
$57.84
Team Total
Portugal over 0.5
model 88.9%
$1.12
Uzbekistan over 0.5
model 33.0%
$3.03
Portugal over 1.5
model 64.5%
$1.55
Uzbekistan over 1.5
model 6.2%
$16.25
Portugal over 2.5
model 37.7%
$2.65
Uzbekistan over 2.5
model 0.8%
$126.16
Winning Margin
Portugal by 2+
model 54.4%
$1.84
Portugal by 3+
model 30.5%
$3.27
Uzbekistan by 2+
model 0.9%
$111.44
Uzbekistan by 3+
model 0.1%
$921.87
Clean Sheet
Portugal clean sheet
model 67.0%
$1.49
Uzbekistan clean sheet
model 11.1%
$9.02

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.