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Group KWed, 24 June · 12:00 pm AEST
COL
Colombia
COL
12:00 pm
Guadalajara
COD
Congo DR
COD

Win probability

Colombia
65%
fair $1.53
$1.45 -4.9%
Draw
22%
fair $4.52
$4.40 -2.7%
Congo DR
12%
fair $8.01
$8.00 -0.1%
Expected goals
1.90 – 0.70
Total goals
2.60
Over 2.5: 48%
Both to score
43%
Supremacy
+1.20
model goal diff

BeitaBets recommended multi

COLCOL v CODCODWed, 24 June
  • +Over 2.5 goals48%
  • +Both teams to score43%
  • +Congo DR over 1.516%
Combined (true price)
$7.55
13%
to land

Over 2.5 goals + Both teams to score + Congo DR over 1.5. These legs move together (correlation +308%): the true price is 13% vs 3% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Colombia to win
high · 65%$1.53

Most likely scorelines

1–0
13.6%
2–0
13.4%
1–1
10.4%
2–1
9.4%
3–0
8.5%
0–0
7.9%

All markets

Match Result
Colombia to win
model 65.4%· DraftKings $1.45 (-4.9%)
$1.53
Draw
model 22.1%· DraftKings $4.40 (-2.7%)
$4.52
Congo DR to win
model 12.5%· DraftKings $8.00 (-0.1%)
$8.01
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.1%
$1.09
Under 0.5 goals
model 7.9%
$12.62
Over 1.5 goals
model 73.8%
$1.36
Under 1.5 goals
model 26.2%
$3.81
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.2%
$2.08
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.8%
$1.93
Over 3.5 goals
model 26.4%
$3.79
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.6%
$1.36
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.3%
$8.16
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.7%
$1.14
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 43.3%
$2.31
Not both teams to score
model 56.7%
$1.76
Double Chance
Colombia or Draw
model 87.5%
$1.14
Either team (no draw)
model 77.9%
$1.28
Draw or Congo DR
model 34.6%
$2.89
Result & BTTS
Colombia win & BTTS
model 23.7%
$4.23
Congo DR win & BTTS
model 5.5%
$18.33
Team Total
Colombia over 0.5
model 85.0%
$1.18
Congo DR over 0.5
model 50.3%
$1.99
Colombia over 1.5
model 56.6%
$1.77
Congo DR over 1.5
model 15.6%
$6.42
Colombia over 2.5
model 29.6%
$3.38
Congo DR over 2.5
model 3.4%
$29.29
Winning Margin
Colombia by 2+
model 40.1%
$2.50
Colombia by 3+
model 19.6%
$5.09
Congo DR by 2+
model 3.5%
$28.82
Congo DR by 3+
model 0.7%
$143.48
Clean Sheet
Colombia clean sheet
model 49.7%
$2.01
Congo DR clean sheet
model 15.0%
$6.69

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.