BEITABETSTrack
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Group LWed, 24 June · 6:00 am AEST
ENG
England
ENG
6:00 am
Foxborough, Massachusetts
GHA
Ghana
GHA

Win probability

England
77%
fair $1.30
$1.31 +1.3%
Draw
17%
fair $5.91
$5.50 -7.0%
Ghana
6%
fair $17.00
$10.00 -41.2%
Expected goals
2.18 – 0.45
Total goals
2.63
Over 2.5: 49%
Both to score
32%
Supremacy
+1.73
model goal diff

Team news — feeds the model

Ghana out:Mohammed Kudus (?)

Unavailable players adjust each side's attack/defence rating — a depleted back line lifts the goals expectation, a missing striker trims it.

BeitaBets recommended multi

ENGENG v GHAGHAWed, 24 June
  • +Under 2.5 goals51%
  • +Not both teams to score68%
  • +Ghana clean sheet11%
Combined (true price)
$8.93
11%
to land

Under 2.5 goals + Not both teams to score + Ghana clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +186%): the true price is 11% vs 4% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

England to win
high · 77%$1.30
Not both teams to score
high · 68%$1.48

Most likely scorelines

20
17.2%
10
15.4%
30
12.5%
21
7.7%
00
7.6%
11
7.4%

All markets

Match Result
England to win
model 77.2%· DraftKings $1.31 (+1.3%)
$1.30
Draw
model 16.9%· DraftKings $5.50 (-7.0%)
$5.91
Ghana to win
model 5.9%· DraftKings $10.00 (-41.2%)
$17.00
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.4%
$1.08
Under 0.5 goals
model 7.6%
$13.18
Over 1.5 goals
model 74.1%
$1.35
Under 1.5 goals
model 25.9%
$3.86
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.8%
$2.05
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.2%
$1.95
Over 3.5 goals
model 27.0%
$3.71
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.0%
$1.37
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.6%
$7.92
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.4%
$1.14
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 32.3%
$3.09
Not both teams to score
model 67.7%
$1.48
Double Chance
England or Draw
model 94.1%
$1.06
Either team (no draw)
model 83.1%
$1.20
Draw or Ghana
model 22.8%
$4.39
Result & BTTS
England win & BTTS
model 20.9%
$4.79
Ghana win & BTTS
model 2.2%
$46.46
Team Total
England over 0.5
model 88.7%
$1.13
Ghana over 0.5
model 36.1%
$2.77
England over 1.5
model 64.0%
$1.56
Ghana over 1.5
model 7.5%
$13.40
England over 2.5
model 37.2%
$2.69
Ghana over 2.5
model 1.1%
$93.44
Winning Margin
England by 2+
model 52.8%
$1.90
England by 3+
model 29.3%
$3.42
Ghana by 2+
model 1.1%
$87.55
Ghana by 3+
model 0.2%
$654.18
Clean Sheet
England clean sheet
model 63.9%
$1.56
Ghana clean sheet
model 11.3%
$8.84

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.