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ENG v GHA
Wed, 24 June$1.30$5.91$17.00$1.08$13.18$1.35$3.86$2.05$1.95$3.71$1.37$7.92$1.14$3.09$1.48$1.06$1.20$4.39$4.79$46.46$1.13$2.77$1.56$13.40$2.69$93.44$1.90$3.42$87.55$654.18$1.56$8.84
Group LWed, 24 June · 6:00 am AEST
England
ENG
6:00 am
Foxborough, Massachusetts
Ghana
GHA
Win probability
England
77%
fair $1.30
$1.31 +1.3%
Draw
17%
fair $5.91
$5.50 -7.0%
Ghana
6%
fair $17.00
$10.00 -41.2%
Expected goals
2.18 – 0.45
Total goals
2.63
Over 2.5: 49%
Both to score
32%
Supremacy
+1.73
model goal diff
Team news — feeds the model
Ghana out:Mohammed Kudus (?)
Unavailable players adjust each side's attack/defence rating — a depleted back line lifts the goals expectation, a missing striker trims it.
BeitaBets recommended multi
- +Under 2.5 goals51%
- +Not both teams to score68%
- +Ghana clean sheet11%
Combined (true price)
$8.93
11%
to land
Under 2.5 goals + Not both teams to score + Ghana clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +186%): the true price is 11% vs 4% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.
BeitaBets picks
England to win
high · 77%$1.30
Not both teams to score
high · 68%$1.48
Most likely scorelines
2–0
17.2%
1–0
15.4%
3–0
12.5%
2–1
7.7%
0–0
7.6%
1–1
7.4%
All markets
Match Result
England to win
model 77.2%· DraftKings $1.31 (+1.3%)
Draw
model 16.9%· DraftKings $5.50 (-7.0%)
Ghana to win
model 5.9%· DraftKings $10.00 (-41.2%)
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.4%
Under 0.5 goals
model 7.6%
Over 1.5 goals
model 74.1%
Under 1.5 goals
model 25.9%
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.8%
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.2%
Over 3.5 goals
model 27.0%
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.0%
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.6%
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.4%
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 32.3%
Not both teams to score
model 67.7%
Double Chance
England or Draw
model 94.1%
Either team (no draw)
model 83.1%
Draw or Ghana
model 22.8%
Result & BTTS
England win & BTTS
model 20.9%
Ghana win & BTTS
model 2.2%
Team Total
England over 0.5
model 88.7%
Ghana over 0.5
model 36.1%
England over 1.5
model 64.0%
Ghana over 1.5
model 7.5%
England over 2.5
model 37.2%
Ghana over 2.5
model 1.1%
Winning Margin
England by 2+
model 52.8%
England by 3+
model 29.3%
Ghana by 2+
model 1.1%
Ghana by 3+
model 0.2%
Clean Sheet
England clean sheet
model 63.9%
Ghana clean sheet
model 11.3%
Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.