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Group JTue, 23 June · 3:00 am AEST
ARG
Argentina
ARG
3:00 am
Arlington, Texas
AUT
Austria
AUT

Win probability

Argentina
74%
fair $1.36
$1.65 +21.1%
Draw
19%
fair $5.35
$3.90 -27.1%
Austria
8%
fair $12.97
$5.75 -55.7%
Expected goals
2.09 – 0.53
Total goals
2.61
Over 2.5: 48%
Both to score
36%
Supremacy
+1.56
model goal diff

Team news — feeds the model

Argentina out:Cristian Romero (?)Nahuel Molina (?)

Unavailable players adjust each side's attack/defence rating — a depleted back line lifts the goals expectation, a missing striker trims it.

BeitaBets recommended multi

ARGARG v AUTAUTTue, 23 June
  • +Under 2.5 goals52%
  • +Not both teams to score64%
  • +Austria clean sheet12%
Combined (true price)
$8.18
12%
to land

Under 2.5 goals + Not both teams to score + Austria clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +199%): the true price is 12% vs 4% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Argentina to win
high · 74%$1.36
Not both teams to score
high · 64%$1.57

Most likely scorelines

2–0
16.0%
1–0
14.9%
3–0
11.1%
1–1
8.5%
2–1
8.4%
0–0
7.7%

All markets

Match Result
Argentina to win
model 73.6%· DraftKings $1.65 (+21.1%)
$1.36
Draw
model 18.7%· DraftKings $3.90 (-27.1%)
$5.35
Austria to win
model 7.7%· DraftKings $5.75 (-55.7%)
$12.97
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.3%
$1.08
Under 0.5 goals
model 7.7%
$12.91
Over 1.5 goals
model 73.9%
$1.35
Under 1.5 goals
model 26.1%
$3.83
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.4%
$2.06
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.6%
$1.94
Over 3.5 goals
model 26.6%
$3.75
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.4%
$1.36
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.4%
$8.06
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.6%
$1.14
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 36.2%
$2.76
Not both teams to score
model 63.8%
$1.57
Double Chance
Argentina or Draw
model 92.3%
$1.08
Either team (no draw)
model 81.3%
$1.23
Draw or Austria
model 26.4%
$3.79
Result & BTTS
Argentina win & BTTS
model 22.2%
$4.50
Austria win & BTTS
model 3.0%
$33.00
Team Total
Argentina over 0.5
model 87.6%
$1.14
Austria over 0.5
model 40.9%
$2.44
Argentina over 1.5
model 61.7%
$1.62
Austria over 1.5
model 9.8%
$10.19
Argentina over 2.5
model 34.6%
$2.89
Austria over 2.5
model 1.6%
$60.86
Winning Margin
Argentina by 2+
model 48.6%
$2.06
Argentina by 3+
model 25.9%
$3.86
Austria by 2+
model 1.7%
$58.57
Austria by 3+
model 0.3%
$377.44
Clean Sheet
Argentina clean sheet
model 59.1%
$1.69
Austria clean sheet
model 12.4%
$8.05

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.