BeitaBets — World Cup value, decoded

← All fixtures

Group JTue, 23 June · 1:00 pm AEST

Jordan

JOR

1:00 pm

Santa Clara, California

Algeria

ALG

Win probability

Jordan

20%

fair $4.93

$7.00 +42.0%

Draw

25%

fair $3.93

$4.40 +11.9%

Algeria

54%

fair $1.84

$1.50 -18.6%

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.67

Total goals

2.60

Over 2.5: 48%

Both to score

50%

Supremacy

-0.74

model goal diff

BeitaBets recommended multi

JOR v ALG

Tue, 23 June

+Jordan to win20%
+Not both teams to score50%
+Jordan clean sheet19%

Combined (true price)

$9.26

11%

to land

Jordan to win + Not both teams to score + Jordan clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +463%): the true price is 11% vs 2% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Algeria to win

medium · 54%$1.84

Most likely scorelines

1–1

12.1%

0–1

11.8%

0–2

10.4%

1–2

9.6%

0–0

8.0%

1–0

6.3%

All markets

Match Result

Jordan to win

model 20.3%· DraftKings $7.00 (+42.0%)

$4.93

Draw

model 25.4%· DraftKings $4.40 (+11.9%)

$3.93

Algeria to win

model 54.3%· DraftKings $1.50 (-18.6%)

$1.84

Total Goals

Over 0.5 goals

model 92.0%

$1.09

Under 0.5 goals

model 8.0%

$12.49

Over 1.5 goals

model 73.8%

$1.35

Under 1.5 goals

model 26.2%

$3.82

Over 2.5 goals

model 48.2%

$2.08

Under 2.5 goals

model 51.8%

$1.93

Over 3.5 goals

model 26.4%

$3.79

Under 3.5 goals

model 73.6%

$1.36

Over 4.5 goals

model 12.3%

$8.16

Under 4.5 goals

model 87.7%

$1.14

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score

model 49.7%

$2.01

Not both teams to score

model 50.3%

$1.99

Double Chance

Jordan or Draw

model 45.7%

$2.19

Either team (no draw)

model 74.6%

$1.34

Draw or Algeria

model 79.7%

$1.25

Result & BTTS

Jordan win & BTTS

model 9.5%

$10.54

Algeria win & BTTS

model 22.8%

$4.39

Team Total

Jordan over 0.5

model 60.5%

$1.65

Algeria over 0.5

model 81.2%

$1.23

Jordan over 1.5

model 23.8%

$4.20

Algeria over 1.5

model 49.8%

$2.01

Jordan over 2.5

model 6.8%

$14.78

Algeria over 2.5

model 23.5%

$4.25

Winning Margin

Jordan by 2+

model 7.0%

$14.22

Jordan by 3+

model 1.8%

$55.04

Algeria by 2+

model 30.0%

$3.34

Algeria by 3+

model 13.1%

$7.65

Clean Sheet

Jordan clean sheet

model 18.8%

$5.32

Algeria clean sheet

model 39.5%

$2.53

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.