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Group ITue, 23 June · 10:00 am AEST
NOR
Norway
NOR
10:00 am
East Rutherford, New Jersey
SEN
Senegal
SEN

Win probability

Norway
38%
fair $2.67
$2.15 -19.3%
Draw
28%
fair $3.62
$3.60 -0.5%
Senegal
35%
fair $2.87
$3.40 +18.5%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.27
Total goals
2.60
Over 2.5: 48%
Both to score
54%
Supremacy
+0.06
model goal diff

BeitaBets recommended multi

NORNOR v SENSENTue, 23 June
  • +Senegal to win35%
  • +Not both teams to score46%
  • +Senegal clean sheet26%
Combined (true price)
$5.43
18%
to land

Senegal to win + Not both teams to score + Senegal clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +330%): the true price is 18% vs 4% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Norway to win
low · 38%$2.67

Most likely scorelines

1–1
13.2%
1–0
9.2%
0–1
8.8%
2–1
8.3%
0–0
8.1%
1–2
8.0%

All markets

Match Result
Norway to win
model 37.5%· DraftKings $2.15 (-19.3%)
$2.67
Draw
model 27.6%· DraftKings $3.60 (-0.5%)
$3.62
Senegal to win
model 34.8%· DraftKings $3.40 (+18.5%)
$2.87
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 91.9%
$1.09
Under 0.5 goals
model 8.1%
$12.42
Over 1.5 goals
model 73.9%
$1.35
Under 1.5 goals
model 26.1%
$3.83
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.2%
$2.08
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.8%
$1.93
Over 3.5 goals
model 26.4%
$3.79
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.6%
$1.36
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.3%
$8.16
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.7%
$1.14
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 53.5%
$1.87
Not both teams to score
model 46.5%
$2.15
Double Chance
Norway or Draw
model 65.2%
$1.53
Either team (no draw)
model 72.4%
$1.38
Draw or Senegal
model 62.5%
$1.60
Result & BTTS
Norway win & BTTS
model 17.5%
$5.70
Senegal win & BTTS
model 16.4%
$6.09
Team Total
Norway over 0.5
model 73.5%
$1.36
Senegal over 0.5
model 72.0%
$1.39
Norway over 1.5
model 38.3%
$2.61
Senegal over 1.5
model 36.3%
$2.75
Norway over 2.5
model 15.0%
$6.69
Senegal over 2.5
model 13.6%
$7.33
Winning Margin
Norway by 2+
model 17.2%
$5.80
Norway by 3+
model 6.1%
$16.34
Senegal by 2+
model 15.5%
$6.47
Senegal by 3+
model 5.3%
$18.94
Clean Sheet
Norway clean sheet
model 28.0%
$3.57
Senegal clean sheet
model 26.5%
$3.78

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.