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Group GMon, 22 June · 5:00 am AEST
BEL
Belgium
BEL
5:00 am
Inglewood, California
IRN
Iran
IRN

Win probability

Belgium
61%
fair $1.65
$1.41 -14.7%
Draw
24%
fair $4.22
$4.80 +13.8%
Iran
16%
fair $6.38
$8.00 +25.5%
Expected goals
1.80 – 0.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 2.5: 48%
Both to score
46%
Supremacy
+1.00
model goal diff

BeitaBets recommended multi

BELBEL v IRNIRNMon, 22 June
  • +Iran to win16%
  • +Over 1.5 goals74%
  • +Iran over 1.519%
Combined (true price)
$9.73
10%
to land

Iran to win + Over 1.5 goals + Iran over 1.5. These legs move together (correlation +364%): the true price is 10% vs 2% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Belgium to win
high · 61%$1.65

Most likely scorelines

1–0
12.8%
2–0
12.0%
1–1
11.2%
2–1
9.6%
0–0
8.0%
3–0
7.2%

All markets

Match Result
Belgium to win
model 60.6%· DraftKings $1.41 (-14.7%)
$1.65
Draw
model 23.7%· DraftKings $4.80 (+13.8%)
$4.22
Iran to win
model 15.7%· DraftKings $8.00 (+25.5%)
$6.38
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.0%
$1.09
Under 0.5 goals
model 8.0%
$12.56
Over 1.5 goals
model 73.8%
$1.36
Under 1.5 goals
model 26.2%
$3.82
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.2%
$2.08
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.8%
$1.93
Over 3.5 goals
model 26.4%
$3.79
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.6%
$1.36
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.3%
$8.16
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.7%
$1.14
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 46.5%
$2.15
Not both teams to score
model 53.5%
$1.87
Double Chance
Belgium or Draw
model 84.3%
$1.19
Either team (no draw)
model 76.3%
$1.31
Draw or Iran
model 39.4%
$2.54
Result & BTTS
Belgium win & BTTS
model 23.6%
$4.23
Iran win & BTTS
model 7.1%
$14.05
Team Total
Belgium over 0.5
model 83.5%
$1.20
Iran over 0.5
model 55.1%
$1.82
Belgium over 1.5
model 53.7%
$1.86
Iran over 1.5
model 19.1%
$5.23
Belgium over 2.5
model 26.9%
$3.71
Iran over 2.5
model 4.7%
$21.09
Winning Margin
Belgium by 2+
model 35.5%
$2.81
Belgium by 3+
model 16.6%
$6.03
Iran by 2+
model 4.8%
$20.67
Iran by 3+
model 1.1%
$91.33
Clean Sheet
Belgium clean sheet
model 44.9%
$2.23
Iran clean sheet
model 16.5%
$6.05

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.