BEITABETSTrack
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Group CSat, 20 June · 10:30 am AEST
BRA
Brazil
BRA
10:30 am
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
HAI
Haiti
HAI

Win probability

Brazil
71%
fair $1.41
$1.08 -23.4%
Draw
22%
fair $4.64
$13.00 +180.0%
Haiti
8%
fair $12.93
$26.00 +101.1%
Expected goals
1.81 – 0.43
Total goals
2.25
Over 2.5: 39%
Both to score
30%
Supremacy
+1.38
model goal diff

Team news — feeds the model

Brazil out:RodrygoEder MilitaoEstevaoNeymar (?)

Unavailable players adjust each side's attack/defence rating — a depleted back line lifts the goals expectation, a missing striker trims it.

BeitaBets recommended multi

BRABRA v HAIHAISat, 20 June
  • +Over 2.5 goals39%
  • +Both teams to score30%
  • +Brazil over 1.554%
Combined (true price)
$5.25
19%
to land

Over 2.5 goals + Both teams to score + Brazil over 1.5. These legs move together (correlation +203%): the true price is 19% vs 6% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Brazil to win
high · 71%$1.41
Under 2.5 goals
high · 61%$1.64
Not both teams to score
high · 70%$1.43

Most likely scorelines

1–0
18.8%
2–0
17.4%
0–0
11.0%
3–0
10.5%
1–1
8.7%
2–1
7.5%

All markets

Match Result
Brazil to win
model 70.7%· DraftKings $1.08 (-23.4%)
$1.41
Draw
model 21.5%· DraftKings $13.00 (+180.0%)
$4.64
Haiti to win
model 7.7%· DraftKings $26.00 (+101.1%)
$12.93
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 89.0%
$1.12
Under 0.5 goals
model 11.0%
$9.09
Over 1.5 goals
model 66.1%
$1.51
Under 1.5 goals
model 33.9%
$2.95
Over 2.5 goals
model 38.9%
$2.57
Under 2.5 goals
model 61.1%
$1.64
Over 3.5 goals
model 19.0%
$5.27
Under 3.5 goals
model 81.0%
$1.23
Over 4.5 goals
model 7.8%
$12.90
Under 4.5 goals
model 92.2%
$1.08
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 29.9%
$3.34
Not both teams to score
model 70.1%
$1.43
Double Chance
Brazil or Draw
model 92.3%
$1.08
Either team (no draw)
model 78.5%
$1.27
Draw or Haiti
model 29.3%
$3.42
Result & BTTS
Brazil win & BTTS
model 17.0%
$5.89
Haiti win & BTTS
model 2.4%
$41.89
Team Total
Brazil over 0.5
model 83.7%
$1.20
Haiti over 0.5
model 35.2%
$2.84
Brazil over 1.5
model 54.0%
$1.85
Haiti over 1.5
model 7.1%
$14.07
Brazil over 2.5
model 27.2%
$3.67
Haiti over 2.5
model 1.0%
$100.90
Winning Margin
Brazil by 2+
model 43.4%
$2.31
Brazil by 3+
model 21.0%
$4.77
Haiti by 2+
model 1.5%
$67.34
Haiti by 3+
model 0.2%
$510.94
Clean Sheet
Brazil clean sheet
model 64.8%
$1.54
Haiti clean sheet
model 16.3%
$6.12

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.