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TUR v PARSat, 20 June $2.09$3.74$3.92$1.09$12.45$1.35$3.83$2.08$1.93$3.79$1.36$8.16$1.14$1.92$2.08$1.34$1.36$1.91$4.73$8.25$1.27$1.53$2.20$3.49$4.97$10.90$4.05$10.00$10.18$35.03$2.89$4.66
Group DSat, 20 June · 1:00 pm AEST
Türkiye
TUR
1:00 pm
Santa Clara, California
Paraguay
PAR
Win probability
Türkiye
48%
fair $2.09
$1.95 -6.8%
Draw
27%
fair $3.74
$3.30 -11.9%
Paraguay
26%
fair $3.92
$4.30 +9.8%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.06
Total goals
2.60
Over 2.5: 48%
Both to score
52%
Supremacy
+0.48
model goal diff
BeitaBets recommended multi
TUR v PARSat, 20 June- +Paraguay to win26%
- +Not both teams to score48%
- +Paraguay clean sheet21%
Combined (true price)
$7.46
13%
to land
Paraguay to win + Not both teams to score + Paraguay clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +410%): the true price is 13% vs 3% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.
BeitaBets picks
Türkiye to win
medium · 48%$2.09
Most likely scorelines
1–1
12.7%
1–0
10.8%
2–1
9.3%
2–0
8.8%
0–0
8.0%
0–1
7.3%
All markets
Match Result
Türkiye to win
model 47.8%· DraftKings $1.95 (-6.8%)
Draw
model 26.7%· DraftKings $3.30 (-11.9%)
Paraguay to win
model 25.5%· DraftKings $4.30 (+9.8%)
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.0%
Under 0.5 goals
model 8.0%
Over 1.5 goals
model 73.9%
Under 1.5 goals
model 26.1%
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.2%
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.8%
Over 3.5 goals
model 26.4%
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.6%
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.3%
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.7%
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 52.0%
Not both teams to score
model 48.0%
Double Chance
Türkiye or Draw
model 74.5%
Either team (no draw)
model 73.3%
Draw or Paraguay
model 52.2%
Result & BTTS
Türkiye win & BTTS
model 21.2%
Paraguay win & BTTS
model 12.1%
Team Total
Türkiye over 0.5
model 78.6%
Paraguay over 0.5
model 65.4%
Türkiye over 1.5
model 45.5%
Paraguay over 1.5
model 28.6%
Türkiye over 2.5
model 20.1%
Paraguay over 2.5
model 9.2%
Winning Margin
Türkiye by 2+
model 24.7%
Türkiye by 3+
model 10.0%
Paraguay by 2+
model 9.8%
Paraguay by 3+
model 2.9%
Clean Sheet
Türkiye clean sheet
model 34.6%
Paraguay clean sheet
model 21.4%
Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.