BEITABETSTrack
← All fixtures
Group DSat, 20 June · 5:00 am AEST
USA
United States
USA
5:00 am
Seattle, Washington
AUS
Australia
AUS

Win probability

United States
46%
fair $2.19
$1.56 -29.0%
Draw
27%
fair $3.74
$4.50 +20.4%
Australia
28%
fair $3.62
$5.75 +58.7%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.13
Total goals
2.65
Over 2.5: 49%
Both to score
53%
Supremacy
+0.39
model goal diff

Team news — feeds the model

United States out:Johnny CardosoPatrick Agyemang
Australia out:Lewis Miller

Unavailable players adjust each side's attack/defence rating — a depleted back line lifts the goals expectation, a missing striker trims it.

BeitaBets recommended multi

USAUSA v AUSAUSSat, 20 June
  • +Australia to win28%
  • +Not both teams to score47%
  • +Australia clean sheet22%
Combined (true price)
$7.04
14%
to land

Australia to win + Not both teams to score + Australia clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +405%): the true price is 14% vs 3% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

United States to win
medium · 46%$2.19

Most likely scorelines

1–1
12.7%
1–0
10.2%
2–1
9.2%
2–0
8.2%
0–0
7.7%
0–1
7.4%

All markets

Match Result
United States to win
model 45.7%· DraftKings $1.56 (-29.0%)
$2.19
Draw
model 26.7%· DraftKings $4.50 (+20.4%)
$3.74
Australia to win
model 27.6%· DraftKings $5.75 (+58.7%)
$3.62
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.3%
$1.08
Under 0.5 goals
model 7.7%
$13.00
Over 1.5 goals
model 74.8%
$1.34
Under 1.5 goals
model 25.2%
$3.96
Over 2.5 goals
model 49.3%
$2.03
Under 2.5 goals
model 50.7%
$1.97
Over 3.5 goals
model 27.4%
$3.64
Under 3.5 goals
model 72.6%
$1.38
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.9%
$7.73
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.1%
$1.15
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 53.4%
$1.87
Not both teams to score
model 46.6%
$2.15
Double Chance
United States or Draw
model 72.4%
$1.38
Either team (no draw)
model 73.3%
$1.37
Draw or Australia
model 54.3%
$1.84
Result & BTTS
United States win & BTTS
model 21.0%
$4.76
Australia win & BTTS
model 13.4%
$7.46
Team Total
United States over 0.5
model 78.1%
$1.28
Australia over 0.5
model 67.6%
$1.48
United States over 1.5
model 44.9%
$2.23
Australia over 1.5
model 31.1%
$3.21
United States over 2.5
model 19.6%
$5.10
Australia over 2.5
model 10.5%
$9.50
Winning Margin
United States by 2+
model 23.2%
$4.30
United States by 3+
model 9.3%
$10.79
Australia by 2+
model 11.1%
$9.01
Australia by 3+
model 3.4%
$29.42
Clean Sheet
United States clean sheet
model 32.4%
$3.09
Australia clean sheet
model 21.9%
$4.57

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.