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CAN v QAT
Fri, 19 June$2.12$3.73$3.85$1.09$12.44$1.35$3.83$2.08$1.93$3.79$1.36$8.16$1.14$1.92$2.09$1.35$1.37$1.89$4.76$8.10$1.28$1.52$2.21$3.44$5.04$10.65$4.12$10.24$9.92$33.83$2.92$4.61
Group BFri, 19 June · 8:00 am AEST
Canada
CAN
8:00 am
Vancouver
Qatar
QAT
Win probability
Canada
47%
fair $2.12
$1.29 -38.9%
Draw
27%
fair $3.73
$5.50 +47.4%
Qatar
26%
fair $3.85
$11.00 +185.9%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.07
Total goals
2.60
Over 2.5: 48%
Both to score
52%
Supremacy
+0.46
model goal diff
BeitaBets recommended multi
- +Qatar to win26%
- +Not both teams to score48%
- +Qatar clean sheet22%
Combined (true price)
$7.33
14%
to land
Qatar to win + Not both teams to score + Qatar clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +406%): the true price is 14% vs 3% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.
BeitaBets picks
Canada to win
medium · 47%$2.12
Most likely scorelines
1–1
12.8%
1–0
10.7%
2–1
9.3%
2–0
8.7%
0–0
8.0%
0–1
7.3%
All markets
Match Result
Canada to win
model 47.2%· DraftKings $1.29 (-38.9%)
Draw
model 26.8%· DraftKings $5.50 (+47.4%)
Qatar to win
model 26.0%· DraftKings $11.00 (+185.9%)
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.0%
Under 0.5 goals
model 8.0%
Over 1.5 goals
model 73.9%
Under 1.5 goals
model 26.1%
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.2%
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.8%
Over 3.5 goals
model 26.4%
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.6%
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.3%
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.7%
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 52.1%
Not both teams to score
model 47.9%
Double Chance
Canada or Draw
model 74.0%
Either team (no draw)
model 73.2%
Draw or Qatar
model 52.8%
Result & BTTS
Canada win & BTTS
model 21.0%
Qatar win & BTTS
model 12.3%
Team Total
Canada over 0.5
model 78.3%
Qatar over 0.5
model 65.7%
Canada over 1.5
model 45.2%
Qatar over 1.5
model 29.0%
Canada over 2.5
model 19.8%
Qatar over 2.5
model 9.4%
Winning Margin
Canada by 2+
model 24.3%
Canada by 3+
model 9.8%
Qatar by 2+
model 10.1%
Qatar by 3+
model 3.0%
Clean Sheet
Canada clean sheet
model 34.3%
Qatar clean sheet
model 21.7%
Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.