BeitaBets — World Cup value, decoded

← All fixtures

Group AFri, 19 June · 2:00 am AEST

Czechia

CZE

2:00 am

Atlanta, Georgia

South Africa

RSA

Win probability

Czechia

52%

fair $1.92

$1.77 -7.9%

Draw

26%

fair $3.86

$3.75 -2.8%

South Africa

22%

fair $4.54

$4.90 +7.9%

Expected goals

1.63 – 0.97

Total goals

2.60

Over 2.5: 48%

Both to score

51%

Supremacy

+0.65

model goal diff

BeitaBets recommended multi

CZE v RSA

Fri, 19 June

+South Africa to win22%
+Not both teams to score49%
+South Africa clean sheet20%

Combined (true price)

$8.58

12%

to land

South Africa to win + Not both teams to score + South Africa clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +444%): the true price is 12% vs 2% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Czechia to win

medium · 52%$1.92

Most likely scorelines

1–1

12.3%

1–0

11.5%

2–0

9.8%

2–1

9.6%

0–0

8.0%

0–1

6.6%

All markets

Match Result

Czechia to win

model 52.1%· DraftKings $1.77 (-7.9%)

$1.92

Draw

model 25.9%· DraftKings $3.75 (-2.8%)

$3.86

South Africa to win

model 22.0%· DraftKings $4.90 (+7.9%)

$4.54

Total Goals

Over 0.5 goals

model 92.0%

$1.09

Under 0.5 goals

model 8.0%

$12.48

Over 1.5 goals

model 73.8%

$1.35

Under 1.5 goals

model 26.2%

$3.82

Over 2.5 goals

model 48.2%

$2.08

Under 2.5 goals

model 51.8%

$1.93

Over 3.5 goals

model 26.4%

$3.79

Under 3.5 goals

model 73.6%

$1.36

Over 4.5 goals

model 12.3%

$8.16

Under 4.5 goals

model 87.7%

$1.14

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score

model 50.6%

$1.98

Not both teams to score

model 49.4%

$2.02

Double Chance

Czechia or Draw

model 78.0%

$1.28

Either team (no draw)

model 74.1%

$1.35

Draw or South Africa

model 47.9%

$2.09

Result & BTTS

Czechia win & BTTS

model 22.3%

$4.48

South Africa win & BTTS

model 10.4%

$9.64

Team Total

Czechia over 0.5

model 80.3%

$1.24

South Africa over 0.5

model 62.2%

$1.61

Czechia over 1.5

model 48.4%

$2.07

South Africa over 1.5

model 25.5%

$3.93

Czechia over 2.5

model 22.3%

$4.47

South Africa over 2.5

model 7.6%

$13.24

Winning Margin

Czechia by 2+

model 28.1%

$3.56

Czechia by 3+

model 12.0%

$8.36

South Africa by 2+

model 7.9%

$12.62

South Africa by 3+

model 2.1%

$46.84

Clean Sheet

Czechia clean sheet

model 37.8%

$2.65

South Africa clean sheet

model 19.7%

$5.09

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.