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Group KThu, 18 June · 3:00 am AEST
POR
Portugal
POR
3:00 am
Houston, Texas
COD
Congo DR
COD

Win probability

Portugal
77%
fair $1.30
$1.28 -1.7%
Draw
17%
fair $5.84
$5.75 -1.6%
Congo DR
6%
fair $16.90
$11.00 -34.9%
Expected goals
2.16 – 0.44
Total goals
2.60
Over 2.5: 48%
Both to score
32%
Supremacy
+1.71
model goal diff

BeitaBets recommended multi

PORPOR v CODCODThu, 18 June
  • +Under 2.5 goals52%
  • +Not both teams to score68%
  • +Congo DR clean sheet12%
Combined (true price)
$8.74
11%
to land

Under 2.5 goals + Not both teams to score + Congo DR clean sheet. These legs move together (correlation +181%): the true price is 11% vs 4% if you multiplied the singles — shorter, because the same goals drive both legs.

BeitaBets picks

Portugal to win
high · 77%$1.30
Not both teams to score
high · 68%$1.47

Most likely scorelines

2–0
17.3%
1–0
15.7%
3–0
12.4%
0–0
7.8%
2–1
7.7%
1–1
7.5%

All markets

Match Result
Portugal to win
model 77.0%· DraftKings $1.28 (-1.7%)
$1.30
Draw
model 17.1%· DraftKings $5.75 (-1.6%)
$5.84
Congo DR to win
model 5.9%· DraftKings $11.00 (-34.9%)
$16.90
Total Goals
Over 0.5 goals
model 92.2%
$1.08
Under 0.5 goals
model 7.8%
$12.85
Over 1.5 goals
model 73.6%
$1.36
Under 1.5 goals
model 26.4%
$3.79
Over 2.5 goals
model 48.2%
$2.08
Under 2.5 goals
model 51.8%
$1.93
Over 3.5 goals
model 26.4%
$3.79
Under 3.5 goals
model 73.6%
$1.36
Over 4.5 goals
model 12.3%
$8.16
Under 4.5 goals
model 87.7%
$1.14
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
model 32.0%
$3.13
Not both teams to score
model 68.0%
$1.47
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
model 94.1%
$1.06
Either team (no draw)
model 82.9%
$1.21
Draw or Congo DR
model 23.0%
$4.34
Result & BTTS
Portugal win & BTTS
model 20.5%
$4.87
Congo DR win & BTTS
model 2.1%
$46.85
Team Total
Portugal over 0.5
model 88.4%
$1.13
Congo DR over 0.5
model 35.8%
$2.79
Portugal over 1.5
model 63.5%
$1.58
Congo DR over 1.5
model 7.3%
$13.62
Portugal over 2.5
model 36.6%
$2.73
Congo DR over 2.5
model 1.0%
$95.93
Winning Margin
Portugal by 2+
model 52.3%
$1.91
Portugal by 3+
model 28.8%
$3.47
Congo DR by 2+
model 1.1%
$87.62
Congo DR by 3+
model 0.2%
$660.15
Clean Sheet
Portugal clean sheet
model 64.2%
$1.56
Congo DR clean sheet
model 11.6%
$8.65

Model fair prices shown in lime. Where a live Australian bookmaker line is attached, the edge vs the de-vigged market is shown. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.